Gachoka noted that such outcomes would indicate weakening influence of key Kenya Kwanza leaders, Deputy President Kithure Kindiki and Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, in their respective regions.
He argued that losses in these constituencies would suggest that both Kindiki and Mudavadi may not be reliable long-term political partners capable of delivering crucial regional support for Ruto’s 2027 re-election bid.
Gachoka added that the by-elections should not be viewed merely as local contests but as a reflection of shifting political loyalties at the grassroots level.
Political analysts say Gachoka’s remarks signifies growing concerns within Kenya Kwanza about internal cohesion and the performance of regional power brokers.
The results from Mbeere North and Malava are expected to serve as an early test of Ruto’s national reach and the strength of his political alliances ahead of 2027.
